News & Resources

DTN Distillers Grain Weekly Update

16 Oct 2015


By Cheryl Anderson
DTN Staff Reporter

The past week has been a quiet one for the dried distillers grains market, with lower prices finally resulting in higher inclusions rates and better local demand.

The DTN weekly DDG spot price average remained unchanged this week at $116 per ton. Finally leveling off, this is the first week the average has not seen a decrease since late July, but it is still the lowest point since late November 2014.

Of the 36 Midwestern locations DTN collects spot prices from, 22 locations reported their spot prices had remained unchanged in the past week. Prices at eight locations decreased between $3 and $10 per ton, while six locations all reported price increases of $5 per ton.

Merchandisers told DTN that trade was fairly flat this week, but were optimistic for coming weeks and believed that prices may have finally bottomed out. Most said that plants were seeing better margins. With barge freights dropping just a bit and rail numbers improving, local truck markets were also starting to flatten out, as local truck charges were near or higher than shipping to California, Mexico or the Gulf.

Domestic demand is doing better this week with the value of DDG relative to corn finally down around 87% this week. Those better values are leading producers to increase the inclusion rate of DDG in livestock rations, as it is now a better value than corn or soybean meal.

The improved local demand is making up for export markets, which are still comparatively slow. Although September export numbers will be down for September, some merchandisers felt that exports are beginning to rebound just slightly. Export demand is still dependent on the China market, and some merchandisers said that DDG prices may not increase until the China market rebounds.

Most merchandisers did not think harvest will have much of an effect on DDG prices right now, as so far this harvest has been fairly smooth and quickly due to favorable weather.

The value of DDG relative to corn this week was at about 87%, up about 4% from last week, but still in a very healthy, competitive range compared to past history when values soared up to 120% to 130%, severely curtailing usage. The value of DDG relative to soybean meal fell slightly, from about 28% last week to about 37% this week.

The cost per unit of protein for DDG was about $4.64 this week, compared to the cost per unit of protein for soybean meal at about $6.61.

Cheryl Anderson can be reached at cheryl.anderson@dtn.com.

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IN THE NEWS

FDA to Hold Public Meeting for FSMA Implementation

A public meeting to discuss FDA's next phase of FSMA implement will be held in Chicago on Oct. 20.

By Cheryl Anderson

DTN Staff Reporter

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration will be holding a public meeting Tuesday to discuss its planning for the next phase of implementation for the Food Safety Modernization Act, according to an announcement on the FDA website (http://1.usa.gov/…).

The Food Safety Modernization Act is the biggest reform of U.S. food safety laws in more than 70 years and contains many new rules and regulations that affect the feed and grains industry, as well as ethanol producers. These rules were recently finalized by FDA and will apply to any domestic or foreign facilities that manufacture, process, pack or store human food, animal feed, or pet food.

The next phase of FSMA implementation involves beginning new public health prevention measure and risk-based industry accountability which FDA considers "the core of the act."

The agenda will include overviews on the final rules for preventive controls for both human and animal foods, a FSMA implementation update, an overview of preventive controls implementation strategies, an overview of FDA's FSMA technical assistance overview and plans for education, outreach and training by FDA's newly formed Food Safety Preventive Controls Alliance. Question and answer session will be held throughout the day.

The upcoming FDA meeting will be held Oct. 20 from 8:30 a.m. to 5:30 p.m. at the Chicago Marriot Downtown Magnificent Mile. Registration information is located on the FDA website (http://bit.ly/…). Advance registration for in person attendance is now closed and on-site registration will be available on a first come, first served basis. However, registration to attend via live webcast is still open.

A recording of the webcast, as well as a written transcript will be posted to the FDA website once available after the meeting.

Cheryl Anderson can be reached at cheryl.anderson@dtn.com

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DTN WEEKLY DDG SPOT PRICES

CURRENT PREVIOUS
COMPANY STATE 10/16/2015 10/9/2015 CHANGE
Bartlett and Company, Kansas City, MO (816-753-6300)
Missouri Dry $135 $135 $0
Modified $65 $65 $0
CHS, Minneapolis, MN (800-769-1066)
Illinois Dry $120 $128 -$8
Indiana Dry $115 $115 $0
Iowa Dry $115 $110 $5
Michigan Dry $122 $122 $0
Minnesota Dry $105 $115 -$10
North Dakota Dry $115 $115 $0
New York Dry $150 $160 -$10
South Dakota Dry $115 $115 $0
MGP Ingredients, Atchison, KS (800-255-0302 Ext. 5253)
Kansas Dry $125 $125 $0
POET Nutrition, Sioux Falls, SD (888-327-8799)
Indiana Dry $120 $120 $0
Iowa Dry $110 $110 $0
Michigan Dry $120 $125 -$5
Minnesota Dry $105 $108 -$3
Missouri Dry $125 $125 $0
Ohio Dry $125 $125 $0
South Dakota Dry $108 $108 $0
United BioEnergy, Wichita, KS (316-616-3521)
Kansas Dry $127 $130 -$3
Wet $50 $50 $0
Illinois Dry $133 $136 -$3
Nebraska Dry $127 $130 -$3
Wet $50 $50 $0
U.S. Commodities, Minneapolis, MN (888-293-1640)
Illinois Dry $115 $120 -$5
Indiana Dry $115 $115 $0
Iowa Dry $105 $105 $0
Michigan Dry $115 $115 $0
Minnesota Dry $100 $100 $0
Nebraska Dry $115 $115 $0
New York Dry $140 $140 $0
North Dakota Dry $115 $115 $0
Ohio Dry $120 $115 $5
South Dakota Dry $105 $105 $0
Wisconsin Dry $115 $115 $0
Valero Energy Corp., San Antonio, TX (402-727-5300)
Indiana Dry $120 $115 $5
Iowa Dry $105 $100 $5
Minnesota Dry $105 $100 $5
Nebraska Dry $115 $115 $0
Ohio Dry $125 $125 $0
South Dakota Dry $105 $100 $5
Western Milling, Goshen, California (559-302-1074)
California Dry $185 $180 $5
*Prices listed per ton.
Weekly Average $116 $116 $0
The weekly average prices above reflect only those companies DTN
collects spot prices from. States include: Missouri, Iowa, Nebraska,
Kansas, Illinois, Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, Michigan,
Wisconsin and Indiana. Prices for Pennsylvania, New York and
California are not included in the averages.

*The spot prices gathered by DTN are only intended to reflect general market trends and may vary. Please contact individual plant or merchandiser for exact prices.

If you would be willing to take a weekly phone call and have your distiller grains spot prices listed in this feature, please contact Cheryl Anderson at (308) 224-1527 or (800) 369-7875, or e-mail cheryl.anderson@dtn.com.

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VALUE OF DDG VS. CORN & SOYBEAN MEAL
Settlement Price: Quote Date Bushel Short Ton
Corn 10/15/2015 $3.7550 $134.11
Soybean Meal 10/15/2015 $314.00
DDG Weekly Average Spot Price $116.00
DDG Value Relative to: 10/16 10/9 10/2
Corn 86.50% 83.02% 84.99%
Soybean Meal 36.94% 38.18% 39.00%
Cost Per Unit of Protein:
DDG $4.64 $4.64 $4.72
Soybean Meal $6.61 $6.40 $6.37
Notes:
Corn and soybean prices taken from DTN Market Quotes. DDG
price represents the average spot price from Midwest
companies collected on Thursday afternoons. Soybean meal
cost per unit of protein is cost per ton divided by 47.5.
DDG cost per unit of protein is cost per ton divided by 25.

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USDA MARKET NEWS/DISTILLER GRAINS PRICES

USDA WEEKLY DISTILLERS GRAINS SUMMARY (Oct 9, 2015)

Dried Modified Wet
FOB PLANT PRICES PER TON
Iowa 97.00-110.00 50.00-65.00 35.00-40.00
Minnesota 105.00-120.00 55.00 34.00-40.00
Nebraska 105.00-127.50 58.00-66.00 43.00-56.00
South Dakota 100.00-115.00 55.00-66.50 38.00-43.00
Wisconsin 115.00-135.00 50.00-60.00 NQ
Eastern Corn Belt 114.00-135.00 55.00-58.00 NQ
Kansas 120.00-145.00 NQ 45.00-65.00
Northern Missouri 125.00-138.00 NQ 40.00-42.00
DELIVERED PRICES PER TON
CIF NOLA 154.00-162.00
Pacific Northwest 168.00-176.00
California 165.00-172.00
Texas Border (metric ton) 185.00-205.00
Lethbridge AB 150.00
Chicago 128.00-140.00

Dried Distillers Grain: 10% Moisture

Modified Wet Distillers: 50-55% Moisture

Wet Distillers Grains: 65-70% Moisture

CALIFORNIA WHOLESALE FEEDSTUFF PRICES (Tue Oct 13, 2015)

Distillers Dry Grains

 Rail to California Points 175.00 up 3.00
 FOB Truck to California Points 180.00-185.00 up 5.00-dn 1.00

PACIFIC NORTHWEST WEEKLY FEEDSTUFFS (Tue Sep 29, 2015)

Offers for Distillers Dried Grains delivered in September by rail to feed mills in the Pacific Northwest were steady from 169.00-180.00. Offers for distillers dried grains trans-loaded onto trucks and delivered to Willamette Valley dairies were steady from 187.00-195.00.

*All prices quoted per ton unless otherwise noted.

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NASS/USDA MONTHLY CO-PRODUCTS PRODUCTION

Dry and Wet Mill, Co-products and Products Produced - United States

June 2015 - August 2015

Sep 1, 2015

Highlights:

Dry mill co-product production of distillers dried grains with solubles (DDGS) was 1.94 million tons during August 2015, down 3 percent from July 2015 and down 2 percent from June 2015. Distillers wet grains (DWG) 65 percent or more moisture was 1.15 million tons in August 2015, up 1 percent from July 2015 and up 1 percent from June 2015.

Wet mill corn gluten feed production was 343.5 thousand tons during August 2015, up 3 percent from July 2015 and up 7 percent from June 2015. Wet corn gluten feed 40 to 60 percent moisture was 290.7 thousand tons in August 2015, down 8 percent from July 2015 and down 5 percent from June 2015.

Co-products and Products May 2015 Jun 2015 Jul 2015
Dry Mill tons
Condensed distillers solubles (CDS-syrup) 145,244 149,927 155,218
Corn oil 120,582 125,497 121,810
Distillers dried grains (DDG) 407,259 450,829 452,969
Distillers dried grains with solubles (DDGS) 1,976,508 2,000,851 1,943,205
Modified distillers wet grains (DWG) <65% moisture 1,136,491 1,137,600 1,151,047
Modified distillers wet grains (DWG) 40-64% moisture 367,092 350,460 341,837
Wet Mill
Corn germ meal 63,188 68,528 66,563
Corn gluten feed 321,209 333,828 343,476
Corn gluten meal 92,237 97,130 96,072
Corn oil 51,281 53,364 52,514
Wet corn gluten feed 40-60% moisture 214,995 225,675 217,778

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RFA WEEKLY U.S. LIVESTOCK FEED PRODUCTION

CO-PRODUCT OUTPUTS (metric tons)
Week Ending Distillers Grains Corn Gluten Feed Corn Gluten Meal Total Feed Corn Oil (lbs.)
9/04/15 94671 9787 1812 106270 5635945
9/11/15 94967 9818 1818 106603 5653594
9/18/15 92695 9583 1775 104052 5518284
9/30/15 93189 9634 1784 104606 5547700

*Information from 2010 Weekly U.S. Fuel Ethanol/Livestock Feed Production report (http://www.ethanolrfa.org/…)

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DDG LINKS/RESOURCES

Organizations

*Distillers Grains Technology Council

http://www.distillersgrains.org

*National Corn Growers Association Corn Distillers Grains Brochure

http://ncga.com/…

*Iowa Corn

http://www.iowacorn.org/…

Nebraska Corn Board

http://www.nebraskacorn.org/…

*Renewable Fuels Association - Ethanol Co-Products

http://www.ethanolrfa.org/…

*American Coalition for Ethanol

http://www.ethanol.org/…

*U.S. Grains Council

http://www.grains.org/…

*South Dakota Corn Utilization Council

http://www.drieddistillersgrains.com

Government Sites

*Iowa Department of Agriculture and Land Stewardship/Office of Renewable Fuels & Coproducts

http://www.distillersgrains.com

University Sites

*University of Minnesota - Distillers Grains By-Products in Livestock

and Poultry Feed

http://www.ddgs.umn.edu

*University of Illinois - Illinois Livestock Integrated Focus Team Distillers Grains site

http://ilift.traill.uiuc.edu/…

*University of Nebraska - Beef Cattle Production By-Product Feeds site

http://beef.unl.edu/…

*University of Nebraska Extension

http://ianrpubs.unl.edu/…

*Iowa Beef Center - Iowa State University

http://www.iowabeefcenter.org/…

*University of Missouri - Byproducts Resource Page

http://agebb.missouri.edu/…

*South Dakota State University - Dairy Science Department - Dairy cattle research

http://dairysci.sdstate.edu/…

(select "Distillers Grains" from the topic menu)

*Purdue University Renewable Energy Web Site

http://www.extension.purdue.edu/…

(select "Biofuels Co-Products from the menu)

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DDG CONFERENCES

*Distillers Grains Technology Council Inc.'s 19th Annual Distillers Grains Symposium

The Distillers Grains Technology Council will hold its 19th Annual Distillers Grains Symposium on May 13-14, 2015 at the Sheraton Crown Center at Kansas City, Missouri. For information, contact the DGTC office at (515) 294-4019 or (800) 759-3448, or check the DGTC website (http://www.distillersgrains.org).

(If you are sponsoring or know of any event, conference or workshop on distillers grains, and would like to list it in the DTN Weekly Distillers Grains Update, please contact Cheryl Anderson (see contact info below).

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We welcome any comments/suggestions for this feature. Please let us know what information is valuable to you that we could include in the Distillers Grains Weekly Update. Please feel free to contact Cheryl Anderson at (402) 364-2183, or e-mail cheryl.anderson@dtn.com.

(SK)