DTN Midday Grain Comments 09/23 11:13
23 Sep 2016
DTN Midday Grain Comments 09/23 11:13 Soybeans Lower at Midday Corn and wheat are flat, soybeans down sharply at midday. By David Fiala DTN Contributing Analyst General Comments The U.S. stock market indices are lower with the Dow down 60 points. The interest rate products are mostly higher. The dollar index is narrowly mixed. Energies are mixed with crude up 1.05. Livestock trade are lower with crude down 0.40. Precious metals are mixed with gold down $1.10. CORN Corn trade is flat to 2 cents lower at midday with light two sided trade so far. China placed tariffs on most distillers grain, which is adding pressure along with the negative action in soybeans this morning. Harvest is expected to be slowed in many areras this weekend by on going rains. Ethanol margins should remain strong for producers with the firmer energy values this week, with ethanol futures edging higher this morning. Basis pressure should build this week as harvest expands into the weekend. The December contract chart support is at the 10-day and 50-day at $3.36 then the 20-day at $3.31, with trade just below the $3.36 area overnight, with the recent $3.44 high above that as resistance. SOYBEANS Soybean futures are 20 to 25 cents lower at midday with harvest pressure and strong yields carrying the day so far. Meal is $5 to $6 lower and oil is 55 to 65 points lower. The export wire was quiet this morning which added to the pressure. South American planting progress should continue with the forecast shading drier overnight. Early harvest progress should refill the pipeline, with basis moving to more normal levels as premiums evaporate going into the weekend. The near term wetness issues look to clear up into October on some of the recent forecasts. On the November chart, trade has fallen through support at $9.62-9.63 on the 10-day to 20-day moving averages, with longer term support the $9.43, and $9.37 reccent lows. WHEAT Wheat trade is flat to 2 higher at midday with wheat showing the most strength this morning with India reducing import duties and Russia reducing crop size slighty. The dollar trend remains lower as we head to the weekend, which has helped as well. Big supplies will continue to hang over this market and limit upside on bounces, with trade struggling to hold strength this morning. There were no offers for the Egyptian tender as the ergot standard change has not been made official yet, with Jordan coming back next week. On the Kansas City December chart our trade is hanging just above the 10-day and 20-day moving averages at $4.13-4.18. This market has consolidated this month, trade since September 2 trading in the $4.05-$4.25 range. Expect follow-through if we move outside of this range. The 50-day at $4.28 is the next major moving average to the upside, and the contract low at $3.95 remains major support. David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com Follow David Fiala on Twitter @davidfiala (BAS) Copyright 2016 DTN/The Progressive Farmer. All rights reserved.