DTN Midday Livestock Comments 09/29 11:55
29 Sep 2016
DTN Midday Livestock Comments 09/29 11:55 Cattle Futures Hold Narrow Losses At Midday Livestock futures remain narrowly mixed at midday with traders focusing on a very inactive market Thursday morning. Cash hog markets continue to turn lower through the week focusing on weakness in pork values while cash cattle trade remains sluggish following midweek price pressure. By Rick Kment DTN Analyst GENERAL COMMENTS: Livestock trade remains lightly traded Thursday morning with live cattle and lean hog futures hovering in a narrow price range. Activity is expected to remain sluggish through the end of the session Thursday, limiting trade activity and price ranges. December corn futures are 1 cents higher per bushel. Stock markets are lower in light trade. The Dow Jones is 72 points lower while Nasdaq is down 26 points. LIVE CATTLE: Live cattle futures have widened the trading ranges at midday from the single digit price activity seen through most of the morning, but the complex remains stuck in a sideways trading range following lack of activity through the end of the month. The inability for traders to break out of the wide market range established during the month of September has created a lethargic market condition in which commercial traders are willing to remain on the sidelines. With narrow trading ranges separating nearby contracts, little incentive is seen in contract spreading at this point either, allowing for additional market inactivity. Cash cattle activity remains sluggish Thursday morning with bids redeveloping in the North. A handful of cattle have been reported sold in Iowa at $160 per cwt, on the low end of the range seen earlier in the week. Bids through the rest of the areas are seen at $160 to $161 with some additional cattle potentially needing to still be moved before the end of the week in order to fill procurement lists for next week. Southern trade may be done for the week, although prices in all areas are likely to have been set unless a major surprise is seen in futures trade over the next couple of days. Beef cut-outs at midday are higher $0.22 higher (select) and up $0.17 per cwt (choice) with active movement of 80 total loads reported (41 loads of choice cuts, 12 loads of select cuts, 14 loads of trimmings, 13 loads of ground beef). FEEDER CATTLE: Light gains held through most of the morning Thursday, although traders continue to limit interest as seller activity stepped back into the market at midday. The lack of buyer support late in the week had little to do with market pressure and more to do with no trade volume redeveloping at the end of the month. September contracts remain undeveloped due to lack of open interest seen late in the contract life, while the rest of the market remains stuck in narrow price moves in a mixed range. Choppy directionless trade is expected to continue through the end of the session. LEAN HOGS: Narrow gains are holding across the lean hog complex as buyers are able to push front month October contracts to $52 per cwt with a 30 cent per cwt gain. All nearby contracts are holding narrow to moderate gains, which is supportive given that cash markets and pork prices continue to work lower, but the fact is that without significant buyer support willing to step back into the market, narrow gains seen Thursday will mean very little. Contracts continue to hover near contract lows with the next big break lower potentially pushing prices over the edge and breaking through support levels. Cash prices are lower on the National Direct morning cash hog report. The weighted average price fell $0.99 per cwt to $48.56 per cwt with the range from $46.00 to $50.00 on 3,824 head reported sold. Cash prices are lower on the Iowa Minnesota Direct morning cash hog report. The weighted average price fell $0.87 per cwt to $48.82 per cwt with the range from $46.00 to $50.00 on 1,148 head reported sold. The National Pork Plant Report reported 202 loads selling with prices falling $1.35 per cwt. Lean hog index for 9/26 is at $58.21 down 0.72 with a projected two-day index of $57.63 down 0.58. Rick Kment can be reached at rick.kment@dtn.com (ES) Copyright 2016 DTN/The Progressive Farmer. All rights reserved.