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DTN Midday Grain Comments 12/09 10:59

9 Dec 2016
DTN Midday Grain Comments 12/09 10:59 Beans, Corn Higher at Midday; Wheat Mixed Soybeans lead trade higher at midday ahead of the December USDA report. By David Fiala DTN Contributing Analyst General Comments The U.S. stock market indices are higher with the Dow futures up 60. The interest rate products are higher. The dollar index is 55 points higher. Energies are higher with crude up 0.50. Livestock has is mostly lower. Precious metals are mixed with gold down $9. CORN Corn trade is 2 to 3 cents higher in quiet midday trade ahead of the WASDE report at 11. Spillover strength from energies and the soybean trade is helping add support as well as some light short profit taking after the negative day yesterday. Ethanol futures have edged higher at midday helping to support margins. The WASDE report is expected keep production numbers unchanged with minor changes to carry out with the average guess at 2.43 billion bushels and range of 2.364 and 2.584. Chart support is at the $3.53 20-day, then the $3.50 1/4 low printed yesterday. Resistance is the recent high at $3.64 then the five-month high at $3.69. SOYBEANS Soybean trade is 7 to 8 cents higher at midday with buying picking up during the day session with support from weather and demand ahead of the report. Meal is $5 to $6 higher, and oil is 25 to 35 points lower. Brazilian crop estimates are rising even as weather issues linger for South Brazil and Argentina, which may have some production ideas lower in Argentina. The focus on weather will intensify into December. The dollar strength will hurt exports with early production from South America coming soon. The USDA announced 132,000 metric tons of soybeans sold to unknown. The monthly report tomorrow is expected to show limited changes with the average carryout guess at 469 million bushels. On the January chart the 20-day at $10.22 is now support with resistance at the $10.38 10-day then the $10.65 four-month high. WHEAT Wheat trade is narrowly mixed at midday with the strong dollar limiting follow through buying interest after the bounce yesterday. India dropping import duties until March which should help bolster additional demand. Lower temperatures will have to be watched with limited snow cover but moisture has improved for some areas with the recent systems, especially in the eastern part of the winter wheat belt. This for sure appears to be limiting selling in wheat which is at some low historic prices. Drops around zero or lower that can cause winter kill with much of NW Kansas hitting that area. The demand for protein will continue to be key market mover on spread trade, and the Southern Hemisphere harvest continues to move along well with Argentina and Australia seeing good yields. On the report, carryout is expected to be 1.14 billion bushels, steady with last month. On the Kansas City March chart support is at the $3.99 3/4 contract low printed Wednesday, resistance is at the $4.09 10-day moving average which is the lowest major moving average. David Fiala is a DTN contributing analyst and the President of FuturesOne and a registered adviser. He can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com Follow Fiala on Twitter @davidfiala (BAS) Copyright 2016 DTN/The Progressive Farmer. All rights reserved.