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DTN Midday Grain Comments 12/06 12:16

6 Dec 2016
DTN Midday Grain Comments 12/06 12:16 All Grains Higher at Midday Double-digit midday gains are again seen for beans at midday, providing mild support to corn and wheat. By David Fiala DTN Contributing Analyst General Comments The U.S. stock market indices are mixed with the Dow futures down 11. The interest rate products are lightly mixed. The dollar index is 31 points higher. Energies are mostly lower with crude down $1.20. Livestock trade is mostly higher. Precious metals are lower with gold down $5. CORN Corn trade is 3 cents higher at midday and has been up around a nickel due to spillover support from beans and light chart buying of its own. Outside markets have crude down the dollar and stocks lightly higher giving light outside market pressure. In the big picture corn did not follow beans higher the past 2 months so although the fundamentals remain negative with the large carryover traders are talking about possible fund buying showing up for corn. Other traders were looking to sell morning strength looking for a turn-a-round Tuesday. Momentum is flat at midday, but best guess is for active trade this afternoon near the close. Chart support is the $3.52 1/2 to $3.54 1/2 area where we find the 10-day, 20-day and 50-day moving averages. The channel trend line resistance was at $3.61, which we are above, so notable midday chart resistance is the upper Bollinger Band, then the $3.69 4-month high. SOYBEANS Soybean trade is around a dime higher at midday, meal is up $7 and bean oil is up 5 points. Bean oil was up over 50 points early but has faded which has limited upside in beans here around midday. Beans are 7-8 cents off the early highs. The weekly export inspections were again extremely large yesterday morning boosting futures; they were at 1.910 million tons. The export demand has held up with the futures move above $10 but market bears argue supplies remain burdensome. The biggest chance for upside in beans this month is South American weather issues or simple short covering causing weather premium to be added. For today South American weather saw little change in the forecasts. If big export sales continue to show up, beans should have good support on light breaks. On the January chart the 10-day at $10.36 is now support with resistance at the $10.65 4-month high. WHEAT Wheat trade was mostly higher at midday with futures 1 to 3 cents higher across the three markets. Wheat is seeing limited selling interest due to the firmer corn and soybean trade. Moisture over the weekend was welcome for winter wheat areas. The weekly USDA condition reports stop coming out in December, but this moisture would have likely lead to an improvement. The market will watch areas where the snow cover has melted and temperatures drop down this week. Drops around zero or lower that can cause winter kill. On the KC March chart support is at the $4.01 contract low printed last Thursday, resistance is at the $4.21 10-day moving average which is the lowest major moving average. David Fiala is a DTN contributing analyst and the President of FuturesOne and a registered adviser. He can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com Follow Fiala on Twitter @davidfiala (BAS) Copyright 2016 DTN/The Progressive Farmer. All rights reserved.