DTN Midday Grain Comments 12/06 11:06
6 Dec 2019
DTN Midday Grain Comments 12/06 11:06 Grains Mixed at Midday Soybeans lead at midday with trade giving back early gains. By David Fiala DTN Contributing Analyst General Comments The U.S. stock market is firmer with the Dow up 320 higher. The dollar index is 40 higher. Interest rate products are firmer. Energies are lightly firmer with crude $0.60 higher. Livestock trade is mostly higher. Precious metals are mostly lower with gold down 18.80. CORN Corn trade is 1 to 2 cents lower at midday with trade turning lower during the day session as early buying evaporates again. Ethanol margins have remained steady with the blenders gaining the benefit of the crude and unleaded move this week while ethanol futures remain sideways. Basis has held up well with some strength showing up at processors again. The USDA reported 245,872 metric tons of corn sold to Mexico. On the March contract support is the lower Bollinger band at $3.74 which we have held just above, with resistance the 20-day at $3.80. SOYBEANS Soybeans are 3 to 4 cents higher at midday with support from short covering and reports that China was going to allow further tariff-free imports of soybeans but early gains failed to hold again. Meal is $2.00 to $3.00 lower and oil is 60 to 70 points higher with meal moving back below $300 a ton. The real remains cheap vs. the dollar with Brazilian weather still in good shape, with Argentina more mixed. Bean basis has moved to a more sideways trend short term with pockets of firmness showing up on the break. January chart support is the lower Bollinger Band at $8.63 which we are finally pulling away from, with resistance well above the market at $8.98 where the 20-day moving average, along with exceptionally oversold conditions starting to ease. WHEAT Wheat trade is flat to 4 cents lower with Minneapolis trade leading at midday with trade boring back into support levels. The Chicago/KC March spread is back to 85 cents. Chicago also holding a 6 cent premium to Minneapolis which has narrowed sharply this week. The dollar rebounded today, adding pressure as well. Export business has been quiet so far this week. The forecast dries the Plains back out short term, with little change to world conditions north and south this week. The March KC chart support is the lower Bollinger Band at $4.23, and resistance the 20-day at 4.35. David Fiala is a DTN contributing analyst and the President of FuturesOne and a registered adviser. He can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com Follow him on Twitter @davidfiala (CZ) Copyright 2019 DTN/The Progressive Farmer. All rights reserved.